Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 20.963646 24.157241 27.598758 31.574002 36.029626 40.859971 46.482840
2025-10-19 15.538126 19.977935 25.208543 31.780216 39.766782 49.106240 60.797727
2025-10-26 12.280327 17.235816 23.498911 31.893057 42.732654 56.131826 73.803679
2025-11-02 9.883725 14.971450 21.801638 31.467471 44.590281 61.558404 84.888638
2025-11-09 8.086120 13.129730 20.278747 30.894453 45.948834 66.180041 94.994223
2025-11-16 6.678009 11.575360 18.876849 30.207177 46.919146 70.162533 104.309402
2025-11-23 5.441776 10.059160 17.290570 28.996619 46.917286 72.655189 111.567915
2025-11-30 4.915142 9.587865 17.210450 29.983406 50.133725 79.826069 125.749730
2025-12-07 4.476310 9.188924 17.176923 30.998783 53.414551 87.226631 140.608686
2025-12-14 3.823928 8.303077 16.219369 30.399312 54.083498 90.703213 149.779570
2025-12-21 3.243650 7.452802 15.208539 29.582629 54.290827 93.417619 157.859275
2025-12-28 3.112575 7.456901 15.710049 31.388984 58.902548 103.220938 177.292990
2026-01-04 2.917490 7.331480 16.012552 32.969007 63.417167 113.397003 198.293206
2026-01-11 2.585638 6.868502 15.634602 33.307999 65.879462 120.488158 214.934123
2026-01-18 2.277573 6.399511 15.180126 33.446564 67.980375 127.083873 231.101259
2026-01-25 1.960383 5.844409 14.470771 33.006779 68.976155 131.836927 244.429618
2026-02-01 1.677207 5.311267 13.729202 32.410394 69.606691 135.956197 256.849818
2026-02-08 1.427191 4.806738 12.974736 31.694395 69.927891 139.511299 268.432226
2026-02-15 1.180092 4.249892 12.015741 30.432852 69.068663 140.873963 276.236361
2026-02-22 1.099114 4.149649 12.116396 31.461238 72.793549 150.713359 299.334271
2026-03-01 1.026597 4.059275 12.227993 32.519207 76.639769 160.951843 323.561116
2026-03-08 0.880891 3.704284 11.625507 31.894615 76.979211 164.652384 336.170297
2026-03-15 0.745907 3.346708 10.959464 31.043592 76.764081 167.263350 346.873045